Thursday, October 23, 2008

TIPP: Dead even race

This must be one of the most weird campaigns in history. Some polls show Obama with double digit gains (and not surprisingly those are the polls that are echoed by the media); yet, the daily tracking polls of several organizations show the race tightening, some within the margin of error (for instance Gallup's traditional model for likely voters shows Obama and McCain within the margin of error). The most surprising of all comes from TIPP. Its daily tracking poll, the poll that got it closest in 2004, shows a dead even race,

"McCain has cut into Obama's lead for a second day and is now just 1.1 points behind. The spread was 3.7 Wednesday and 6.0 Tuesday. The Republican is making headway with middle- and working- class voters, and has surged 10 points in two days among those earning between $30,000 and $75,000. He has also gone from an 11-point deficit to a 9-point lead among Catholics."

1 comment:

Jude Lobe said...

I cringe when McCain or Palin state an untruth because it sends a bad message to voters that they are untruthful. Obama met Ayers in 1997 when Ayers was voted Citizen of the Year in Chicago in 1997 for work on education reform. Ayers is now a distinguished Professor of Education at UI-Chicago.
I really want McCain to stick to issues. If he just sticks to issues he'll get his message across without alienating people with stretched truths. He also needs to reign in Palin who doesn't even understand the role of the VP. He needs to watch her or he'll lose his masculinity. He's already losing his reputation for being an above board gentleman.